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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+7.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+9.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+3.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+3.06vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.27+5.88vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.43+3.81vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.40+0.90vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.04-1.53vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94+0.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-2.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-6.14vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-6.03vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-9.85vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.56-5.65vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.10-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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12.89University of South Florida0.901.9%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University2.758.8%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College2.9010.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.785.0%1st Place
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12.88Northwestern University1.271.8%1st Place
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11.81Webb Institute1.433.5%1st Place
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6.7Stanford University2.6110.8%1st Place
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10.9University of Southern California1.403.0%1st Place
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9.47Tulane University2.045.2%1st Place
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12.37Fordham University1.942.7%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.783.8%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy2.607.3%1st Place
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8.97University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University3.0510.4%1st Place
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11.35University of Hawaii1.563.0%1st Place
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9.55Jacksonville University2.104.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Jake Weinstein | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke Harris | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.