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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+2.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+0.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.73+4.53vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.61vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.29+2.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09-3.56vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.46vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.23-0.04vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+2.94vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-2.91vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.13-2.78vs Predicted
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14Hamilton College0.75-0.31vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.50-2.93vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Georgetown University4.330.2%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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3.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.2%1st Place
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8.53SUNY Maritime College2.730.0%1st Place
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4.76Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.76Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy4.090.2%1st Place
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10.46Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.94Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.22Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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13.69Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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12.07Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 17.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 19.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Hofmeister | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 15.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 21.6% | 42.7% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| David Coplon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Julie Webster | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 23.6% | 33.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.