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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas-0.49+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.31vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-2.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.70-2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.56-2.04vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.54-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.60vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.17-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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7.22University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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2.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.3%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Texas0.560.1%1st Place
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7.21San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.79California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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9.59University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Brock Paquin | 34.4% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 22.7% | 23.5% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 2.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 23.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 24.1% | 49.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 31.8% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.