← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+3.91vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.46vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.51vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-0.72+3.92vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+3.77vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.57vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-1.54+2.04vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-4.42vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-5.41vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-3.37vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-2.28-0.09vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-1.80-2.31vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.1%1st Place
-
3.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
7.92University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
-
4.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
-
4.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
-
11.91California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
-
10.69San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Milne | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 21.7% | 21.7% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 40.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.