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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.72+5.72vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.49vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+0.97vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-0.40vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.54+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.01vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.28+0.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-3.32vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.80-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.49California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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4.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.1%1st Place
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4.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.9California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.72San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 22.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Milne | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 41.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 16.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.