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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.72+6.02vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.75vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+1.32vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-0.12vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.80+2.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.72vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-7.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.22vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.60-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
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5.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.1%1st Place
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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4.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.06San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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10.78University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.43California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Farmer | 20.2% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Zack Taylor | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 19.3% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| Liam Moran | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.