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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.51vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-0.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+2.47vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59+0.01vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-2.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-2.08vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.82-4.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-4.50vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.62vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.14-3.74vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-10.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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7.16Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.7312.6%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston2.495.6%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.9%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.126.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania2.426.7%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.458.2%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University1.593.1%1st Place
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9.96North Carolina State University1.785.0%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College2.033.2%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.824.7%1st Place
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10.5Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
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14.38SUNY Maritime College0.720.9%1st Place
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13.26University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Will Murray | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Adam Larson | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 33.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.