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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.23+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.93+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+1.80vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+2.38vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-3.30+4.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.68+1.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.10vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-3.78vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.87-3.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.76-1.92vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-2.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.1%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.2%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley-1.230.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.1%1st Place
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8.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.18California Poly Maritime Academy-3.300.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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6.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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7.53San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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10.08California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Shintani | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 24.0% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 13.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| samson grunwald | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Rebecca Masliah | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 34.4% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Blake Grossman | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.1% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 15.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.