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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.93+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+3.63vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+1.04vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+3.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.23-1.72vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.87-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.68-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-3.27vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.76-1.92vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-2.96vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-3.30-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.2%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Davis-0.930.2%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.04California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.1%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley-1.230.1%1st Place
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7.37San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.08California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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11.36California Poly Maritime Academy-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Zemke | 22.9% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| samson grunwald | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Shintani | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Max Lawall | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Grossman | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| Rebecca Masliah | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.