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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.93+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.27vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.23+1.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.20vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-1.51vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.87-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.46vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.76-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.68-2.58vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.6%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.32San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.54University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.73California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 62.9% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 9.6% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 3.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Lawall | 3.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| samson grunwald | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Blake Grossman | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 23.9% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 20.3% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.