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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.62vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.93+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.23+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.18vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.68+1.55vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.87-1.64vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.32-2.45vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.76-2.37vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.6%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.36San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.63California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 62.8% | 20.9% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 3.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Zemke | 9.8% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Lawall | 3.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| samson grunwald | 2.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 21.5% |
| Blake Grossman | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 23.2% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.