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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.93+2.44vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.23+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.68+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+0.39vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-0.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.42vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.87-3.77vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.76-2.37vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.6%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.9California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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8.23San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.63California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 60.5% | 24.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 9.3% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Shintani | 3.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| samson grunwald | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Max Lawall | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 20.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 22.5% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.