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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.41+2.97vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-1.87+5.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.93+2.31vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.90-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.32+2.24vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.68+1.58vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-7.09vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-1.22vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.76-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97California Poly Maritime Academy-0.410.2%1st Place
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7.93San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.71California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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9.24University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.2%1st Place
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10.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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10.62California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 18.2% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Shintani | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Aivan Durfee | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 19.7% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 24.9% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 22.7% |
| samson grunwald | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.