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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.41+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.93+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.32+6.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.49vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-0.15vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.87+0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.90-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-5.12vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-0.98vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-4.08vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.76-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.68-2.63vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99California Poly Maritime Academy-0.410.2%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.85California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.1%1st Place
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7.84San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.24University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.2%1st Place
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9.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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10.71California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Quille | 17.4% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| samson grunwald | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Shintani | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Grossman | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Aivan Durfee | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 25.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 20.3% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.