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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+7.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+5.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.90+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.16vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.87+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.93-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.68+3.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.38vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78+1.84vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.76+0.80vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-1.94vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-5.08vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.41-9.04vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.2%1st Place
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8.26San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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10.21University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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10.8California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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9.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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3.96California Poly Maritime Academy-0.410.2%1st Place
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5.58California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven Douglas | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| samson grunwald | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Aivan Durfee | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 19.3% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Grossman | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 23.4% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 26.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Etienne Quille | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.