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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.84vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+6.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.09vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.04+0.50vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.94+2.47vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.61-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-3.05vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.43-1.19vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.56-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-4.32vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.27-2.97vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.10-7.66vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California1.40-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Harvard University2.488.5%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy2.607.8%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University2.7510.1%1st Place
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12.83University of South Florida0.902.3%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.785.7%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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9.5Tulane University2.045.0%1st Place
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12.47Fordham University1.942.3%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.619.7%1st Place
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8.95University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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11.81Webb Institute1.432.9%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii1.563.9%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.783.8%1st Place
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13.03Northwestern University1.271.8%1st Place
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9.34Jacksonville University2.105.7%1st Place
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10.75University of Southern California1.404.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 20.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% |
| Trey Summers | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Jake Weinstein | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 20.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Luke Harris | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.