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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.70-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.4%1st Place
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2.17University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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4.16University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 42.8% | 34.2% | 16.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 33.2% | 31.5% | 23.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.9% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 28.5% | 30.2% | 15.3% |
| Florence Duff | 14.3% | 19.7% | 34.7% | 22.2% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 30.5% | 38.8% |
| Althea White | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 17.1% | 28.2% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.