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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.70+0.83vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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1.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.5%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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3.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 29.5% | 35.3% | 22.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 48.8% | 29.2% | 15.7% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Althea White | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 16.9% | 27.2% | 42.7% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 17.7% | 30.7% | 37.2% |
| Florence Duff | 13.7% | 19.7% | 32.3% | 21.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.7% | 6.5% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 28.9% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.