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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.70-0.10vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.4%1st Place
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2.18University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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2.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 43.9% | 33.1% | 16.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 33.4% | 30.4% | 24.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Althea White | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 30.5% | 39.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.1% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 30.2% | 28.4% | 16.6% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 28.6% | 41.2% |
| Florence Duff | 14.2% | 19.5% | 31.7% | 23.8% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.