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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+0.92vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.70-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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1.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.5%1st Place
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4.17University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 29.5% | 35.3% | 22.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 48.0% | 29.5% | 16.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 29.1% | 29.5% | 15.8% |
| Althea White | 1.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 42.7% |
| Florence Duff | 13.5% | 19.7% | 32.9% | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.4% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 18.7% | 29.5% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.