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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.16vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.70-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.4%1st Place
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2.16University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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2.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 44.0% | 33.9% | 16.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 34.5% | 29.7% | 23.7% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 14.4% | 19.9% | 32.4% | 23.5% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 29.4% | 28.5% | 16.8% |
| Althea White | 1.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 30.7% | 42.3% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.8% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 29.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.