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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.70+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.4%1st Place
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2.15University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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2.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.24University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 44.6% | 33.3% | 17.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 34.0% | 31.5% | 22.0% | 10.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 14.0% | 19.8% | 33.4% | 22.8% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 31.4% | 36.5% |
| Althea White | 1.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 15.0% | 27.5% | 45.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.2% | 5.2% | 14.7% | 30.1% | 29.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.