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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+6.31vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+10.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+2.35vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+4.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+5.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+2.18vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.49-2.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-2.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-1.25vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.72+1.13vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.82-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.14-2.75vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.78-7.10vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.79-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Roger Williams University2.457.6%1st Place
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12.54Old Dominion University1.812.2%1st Place
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5.42Yale University2.7313.6%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.9110.4%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.713.7%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.7%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.395.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.5%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston2.497.5%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.125.7%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
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14.13SUNY Maritime College0.721.1%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University1.824.3%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.142.2%1st Place
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9.9North Carolina State University1.784.5%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University1.794.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| Jack Egan | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 29.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 19.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.