Race 1A

maisa-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Zacher 23.2% 20.9% 20.5% 15.8% 10.2% 4.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 17.9% 20.3% 18.8% 16.5% 12.0% 7.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 33.2% 26.4% 18.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schoene 7.3% 11.4% 11.2% 15.9% 14.7% 15.2% 10.3% 7.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.7% 2.1% 4.1% 4.9% 7.0% 7.1% 11.2% 12.0% 12.4% 12.6% 14.0% 10.9% 0.0%
Robert Handler 1.9% 1.8% 4.6% 4.9% 5.0% 8.3% 9.1% 10.7% 15.0% 14.5% 13.5% 10.7% 0.0%
Alison Love 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 10.4% 14.7% 14.4% 13.4% 9.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Philip Oasis 0.6% 1.0% 2.1% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 6.5% 9.2% 10.2% 12.4% 17.7% 27.7% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.7% 2.1% 4.1% 4.9% 7.0% 7.1% 11.2% 12.0% 12.4% 12.6% 14.0% 10.9% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 8.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.9% 11.7% 12.1% 9.6% 5.7% 0.0%
David Geer 1.3% 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 4.8% 7.4% 8.3% 11.8% 12.8% 18.0% 25.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Mislinski 2.0% 1.3% 2.3% 4.6% 5.3% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 13.9% 15.2% 16.0% 12.0% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 7.8% 10.6% 12.0% 15.0% 13.0% 13.4% 7.9% 6.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.