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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.70-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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1.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.5%1st Place
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4.18University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 29.4% | 34.7% | 22.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 48.8% | 30.2% | 15.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.6% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 28.8% | 29.6% | 16.0% |
| Florence Duff | 12.7% | 20.7% | 35.4% | 22.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Althea White | 1.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 29.6% | 42.8% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 29.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.