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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.22vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.70-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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2.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.2%1st Place
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1.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.5%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 29.2% | 34.7% | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Florence Duff | 15.3% | 20.6% | 32.5% | 21.0% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 46.8% | 30.8% | 16.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.8% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 30.2% | 29.1% | 16.5% |
| Althea White | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 29.6% | 42.4% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 19.7% | 28.5% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.