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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.70+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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2.17University of California at Berkeley0.730.3%1st Place
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1.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.5%1st Place
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2.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.28University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 19.0% | 30.9% | 36.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 31.5% | 33.5% | 23.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 46.2% | 31.9% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 13.7% | 21.2% | 32.7% | 22.5% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.6% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 29.6% | 27.2% | 19.6% |
| Althea White | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 16.2% | 30.4% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.