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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.6%1st Place
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1.81University of California at Berkeley0.730.4%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.09University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 55.4% | 35.4% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 36.1% | 48.8% | 13.5% | 1.6% |
| Althea White | 3.3% | 5.7% | 23.6% | 67.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.2% | 10.1% | 54.7% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.