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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.86vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-2.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.12-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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3.86University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 36.2% | 30.0% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 24.5% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 13.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 31.0% | 19.9% |
| Summer Drake | 21.2% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.