← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.19vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.76vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.10vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis-2.12+0.21vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
-
2.76University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
-
2.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
-
3.9University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.21University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
-
4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 36.2% | 29.0% | 20.5% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 23.5% | 23.3% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Summer Drake | 23.2% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Rita Usmanova | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 24.2% | 27.2% | 13.3% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 18.9% | 61.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 32.2% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.