← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.17vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.40-1.88vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.01-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-2.12-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
-
4.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
-
2.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
-
2.12University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
-
3.99University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.19University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 20.5% | 25.8% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 30.5% | 20.1% |
| Summer Drake | 23.9% | 23.2% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 38.7% | 27.5% | 20.5% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Rita Usmanova | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 27.8% | 15.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.