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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.18vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.12+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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4.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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3.9University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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2.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 38.3% | 27.7% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 30.1% | 21.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.8% | 21.9% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 27.3% | 13.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 60.6% |
| Summer Drake | 21.9% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.