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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-1.27vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.12-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.14University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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3.85University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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4.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.7% | 25.0% | 22.7% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 38.4% | 28.2% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 23.6% | 27.2% | 12.5% |
| Summer Drake | 21.9% | 23.8% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 21.2% | 29.5% | 23.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.