Race 2A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Zacher 22.7% 22.0% 22.3% 15.3% 9.1% 4.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 33.2% 28.5% 16.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 20.1% 18.8% 19.4% 16.4% 13.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schoene 7.0% 11.4% 12.2% 15.2% 15.9% 14.9% 10.6% 7.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Fitzpatrick 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 9.7% 11.5% 12.6% 13.8% 10.6% 10.8% 8.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 9.9% 8.9% 12.4% 13.7% 14.3% 12.1% 9.9% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 3.0% 4.0% 3.4% 6.5% 9.3% 11.3% 11.9% 12.9% 12.1% 10.4% 9.4% 5.8% 0.0%
Robert Handler 1.8% 2.8% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 8.3% 11.9% 11.2% 11.5% 14.4% 12.9% 10.1% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 9.9% 8.9% 12.4% 13.7% 14.3% 12.1% 9.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Mislinski 1.9% 1.6% 3.2% 3.4% 6.3% 8.8% 12.3% 11.3% 15.7% 11.9% 13.6% 10.0% 0.0%
Philip Oasis 1.0% 1.1% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 5.8% 6.9% 8.3% 9.6% 13.0% 18.0% 26.7% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.6% 2.0% 3.9% 6.0% 8.2% 10.2% 10.8% 13.8% 11.7% 13.3% 10.2% 7.3% 0.0%
David Geer 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 10.2% 11.3% 12.3% 17.4% 27.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.