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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.85vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.12+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.15University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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3.85University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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2.76University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.3% | 23.3% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Olsen | 39.9% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 23.4% | 27.2% | 12.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 31.7% | 19.8% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 61.3% |
| Summer Drake | 21.2% | 26.0% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.