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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-1.27vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.12-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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2.75University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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3.86University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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4.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 36.4% | 29.4% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 23.0% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 24.6% | 26.1% | 13.0% |
| Summer Drake | 22.1% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 30.3% | 23.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.