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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.01+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-0.28vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.12-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of California at Berkeley0.400.4%1st Place
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3.84University of California at San Diego-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.2%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 37.4% | 28.8% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Rita Usmanova | 9.4% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 23.0% | 25.7% | 13.3% |
| Summer Drake | 23.1% | 24.2% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 31.1% | 19.6% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 20.4% | 22.8% | 23.4% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 19.4% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.