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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.80vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+7.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+6.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+5.63vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+6.45vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.14+5.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-1.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.49-3.29vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.63vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-2.99vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.03vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.30vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.73-10.66vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.82-7.59vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.45-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.3%1st Place
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9.71North Carolina State University1.785.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania2.426.0%1st Place
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12.45Old Dominion University1.811.8%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin1.142.6%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.919.2%1st Place
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10.32Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.8%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston2.496.9%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University1.712.6%1st Place
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10.01Cornell University1.794.6%1st Place
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13.97SUNY Maritime College0.721.6%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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5.34Yale University2.7315.1%1st Place
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9.41George Washington University1.825.7%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 30.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Jack Egan | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.