Race 3A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew Schoene 9.1% 9.0% 12.4% 14.2% 16.4% 14.6% 11.0% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Kana 32.5% 27.2% 18.7% 11.3% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Zacher 23.8% 21.7% 18.5% 16.4% 11.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 18.5% 21.1% 22.1% 15.6% 10.3% 6.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Fitzpatrick 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 10.1% 10.1% 14.6% 13.3% 11.1% 10.7% 8.3% 6.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 8.9% 9.6% 12.4% 13.4% 14.0% 12.6% 9.8% 0.0%
Robert Handler 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 7.4% 8.7% 12.0% 11.0% 13.3% 12.1% 12.5% 10.1% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 6.3% 9.6% 9.7% 11.8% 12.7% 13.2% 12.0% 7.6% 5.9% 0.0%
John Koehler 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 5.8% 9.3% 11.2% 12.9% 14.6% 11.9% 10.9% 9.8% 4.8% 0.0%
Philip Oasis 1.0% 1.2% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 4.9% 7.7% 9.1% 9.9% 13.0% 17.7% 26.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Mislinski 1.7% 2.3% 1.8% 4.9% 5.9% 7.9% 9.3% 11.7% 12.0% 13.7% 15.7% 13.1% 0.0%
David Geer 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.8% 8.4% 10.7% 13.7% 17.5% 27.0% 0.0%
Jacob Romanowsky 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 8.9% 9.6% 12.4% 13.4% 14.0% 12.6% 9.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.