Race 7A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 15.9% 14.3% 15.4% 11.8% 10.6% 9.4% 7.8% 6.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 24.9% 21.3% 14.9% 13.2% 10.3% 5.8% 5.0% 1.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucy Brock 4.5% 6.2% 8.1% 5.9% 7.9% 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 10.7% 9.9% 8.5% 7.4% 2.7%
Samantha Jensen 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 12.9% 18.0% 21.7%
Madison Bashaw 7.9% 7.4% 9.9% 8.5% 9.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 4.7% 4.3% 2.2%
Emma Shakespeare 3.4% 3.0% 3.6% 4.9% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 8.5% 9.0% 11.6% 12.8% 13.3% 15.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 3.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.1% 5.2% 5.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.3% 9.9% 12.8% 18.0% 13.9%
Caroline Benson 7.3% 8.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 10.7% 10.6% 10.1% 7.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5%
Sarah Burn 8.4% 8.5% 8.2% 11.9% 8.2% 9.5% 12.0% 7.4% 9.1% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.5%
Caroline Bayless 10.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.7% 11.6% 9.5% 8.6% 8.1% 7.1% 6.4% 5.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Libby Redmond 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 9.1% 11.1% 8.8% 8.7% 9.7% 7.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.3%
J.J. Smith 4.4% 6.2% 6.2% 7.5% 9.0% 8.0% 7.9% 9.9% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 6.6% 3.6%
Hailey Pemberton 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 9.9% 10.4% 16.6% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.