Race 1B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Butti 19.4% 22.7% 20.9% 18.0% 10.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 38.9% 26.4% 17.3% 10.4% 5.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 5.3% 5.8% 7.8% 11.4% 13.6% 19.3% 16.0% 12.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Dan Crouch Crouch 12.0% 17.4% 18.9% 18.3% 15.8% 9.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 1.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 8.8% 12.9% 14.0% 16.8% 13.4% 13.6% 6.9% 2.0% 0.0%
Michael DeNigris 4.2% 4.5% 7.6% 9.1% 13.6% 17.1% 16.3% 12.9% 9.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.7% 3.7% 4.9% 8.8% 11.5% 14.3% 19.6% 16.9% 13.7% 0.0%
Robert Boger 14.9% 14.3% 17.7% 18.1% 15.8% 10.4% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 5.6% 6.5% 13.2% 14.7% 17.3% 17.1% 12.5% 6.8% 0.0%
Andrew Werner 0.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.4% 4.3% 7.3% 9.9% 15.2% 19.1% 15.0% 14.4% 6.4% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 5.6% 6.5% 13.2% 14.7% 17.3% 17.1% 12.5% 6.8% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 4.6% 5.6% 8.9% 14.7% 23.5% 35.9% 0.0%
James Peaco 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.8% 10.0% 13.8% 23.8% 35.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.