Race 2B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophia Devling 9.3% 9.7% 9.1% 11.4% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.4% 7.5% 6.0% 5.4% 4.0% 1.1%
Leah Rickard 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 5.9% 7.8% 9.3% 9.1% 9.4% 10.0% 11.0% 9.1%
Marbella Marlo 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 8.2% 6.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.2%
Megan Grimes 9.8% 10.6% 8.7% 8.9% 10.0% 9.9% 8.3% 8.5% 9.0% 6.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.3%
Brooke Schmelz 8.6% 7.9% 9.6% 8.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.2% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6%
Islay Van Dusen 4.2% 4.2% 5.2% 3.6% 6.2% 5.5% 7.6% 6.3% 8.8% 11.0% 10.5% 13.7% 13.2%
Aili Moffet 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.7% 5.7% 6.4% 9.6% 12.4% 15.7% 20.9%
Annika Fedde 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 11.4% 11.5% 8.8% 6.2%
Heidi Hicks 2.3% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 5.7% 6.8% 10.4% 16.9% 35.4%
Blaire McCarthy 10.7% 8.5% 9.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.4% 7.6% 8.6% 7.4% 7.0% 6.5% 4.6% 1.5%
Ellie Harned 11.4% 12.8% 12.6% 11.2% 8.5% 9.9% 9.4% 7.4% 5.6% 5.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Mia Hanes 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 8.1% 7.1% 7.5% 10.1% 9.1% 11.2% 10.3% 6.7%
Caroline Sibilly 15.9% 14.6% 13.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 8.0% 6.1% 4.4% 3.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.