Race 3B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Blaire McCarthy 9.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.5% 9.7% 8.5% 10.6% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3%
Brooke Schmelz 6.8% 9.2% 9.1% 7.6% 8.4% 10.0% 8.9% 8.3% 8.1% 9.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.9%
Sophia Devling 8.5% 9.7% 11.0% 10.2% 9.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.5% 6.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.3%
Marbella Marlo 9.2% 9.1% 10.6% 10.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.9% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.2%
Leah Rickard 5.7% 5.3% 5.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 13.4% 9.1% 6.6%
Megan Grimes 10.2% 10.5% 9.5% 10.7% 8.8% 9.2% 8.7% 8.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9% 4.4% 1.3%
Aili Moffet 4.0% 2.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.2% 5.3% 4.1% 5.3% 7.5% 9.7% 10.8% 18.1% 20.0%
Ellie Harned 11.2% 12.6% 9.7% 10.6% 10.4% 9.1% 10.5% 8.7% 5.9% 4.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.6%
Mia Hanes 6.4% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 7.2% 7.0% 9.1% 7.2% 10.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.4% 7.4%
Caroline Sibilly 17.6% 15.6% 13.7% 9.9% 10.3% 8.4% 5.9% 7.1% 4.4% 3.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Annika Fedde 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.2% 6.9% 9.0% 8.7% 9.6% 9.5% 10.4% 7.4% 6.8%
Islay Van Dusen 3.5% 4.1% 2.7% 5.2% 5.3% 7.1% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 9.3% 11.5% 17.4% 13.1%
Heidi Hicks 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 5.6% 5.7% 7.4% 11.5% 15.3% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.