Race 7B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 8.6% 7.9% 8.6% 10.2% 9.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 10.0% 7.9% 6.8% 3.0% 1.9%
Megan Grimes 9.8% 9.6% 10.3% 10.2% 11.0% 9.7% 9.5% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.7% 0.8%
Marbella Marlo 8.7% 9.7% 11.3% 9.7% 11.2% 7.4% 9.8% 10.1% 6.9% 6.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3%
Ellie Harned 12.0% 12.1% 10.5% 11.6% 8.9% 11.6% 8.8% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Sophia Devling 11.0% 11.5% 9.3% 10.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 5.3% 4.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Caroline Sibilly 16.7% 17.2% 15.1% 9.8% 10.7% 8.6% 6.1% 5.7% 5.3% 2.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 11.9% 9.1% 9.7% 9.0% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 8.1% 7.8% 5.8% 5.2% 2.5% 1.2%
Mia Hanes 5.3% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 9.7% 8.4% 10.2% 8.4% 10.9% 8.9% 9.2% 3.7%
Annika Fedde 5.8% 5.5% 5.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.8% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.1% 6.1%
Heidi Hicks 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 2.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.4% 7.4% 8.1% 11.9% 19.0% 27.6%
Islay Van Dusen 3.9% 4.0% 4.4% 6.4% 6.7% 5.2% 7.3% 9.0% 9.0% 12.2% 12.6% 12.0% 7.3%
Aili Moffet 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 4.6% 6.2% 7.2% 9.6% 14.2% 16.9% 18.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.3% 8.5% 12.4% 18.4% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.