Race 8B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ellie Harned 12.1% 11.5% 11.1% 10.4% 10.8% 9.3% 10.1% 7.1% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Brooke Schmelz 7.3% 9.6% 8.5% 9.6% 8.1% 9.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 5.0% 4.2% 1.8%
Megan Grimes 9.4% 10.1% 10.9% 10.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.6% 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Sophia Devling 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 10.4% 10.9% 8.0% 9.7% 8.0% 7.6% 6.3% 5.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Mia Hanes 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 7.9% 3.4%
Marbella Marlo 10.2% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.1% 8.3% 6.6% 6.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.0%
Blaire McCarthy 11.0% 10.3% 9.7% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 9.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Caroline Sibilly 17.3% 16.1% 12.0% 12.1% 12.0% 9.7% 7.5% 5.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Islay Van Dusen 3.6% 4.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 6.3% 8.8% 9.8% 11.3% 11.9% 12.8% 11.2%
Annika Fedde 6.1% 5.5% 7.0% 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.7% 9.9% 10.4% 8.2% 9.1% 5.3%
Heidi Hicks 2.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 5.1% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 10.0% 12.6% 19.2% 24.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 1.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 8.1% 10.7% 18.5% 31.6%
Aili Moffet 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 9.6% 15.0% 14.5% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.