Race 9B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mia Hanes 6.0% 4.8% 5.2% 7.7% 8.3% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.2% 5.5%
Brooke Schmelz 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.1% 10.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.4% 7.4% 5.6% 2.0%
Ellie Harned 10.6% 11.0% 12.0% 9.8% 9.3% 10.9% 9.6% 8.4% 6.2% 5.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Blaire McCarthy 9.4% 9.7% 8.0% 10.1% 11.3% 9.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 6.8% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2%
Marbella Marlo 9.8% 10.4% 10.1% 9.5% 8.7% 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 6.7% 6.6% 5.5% 3.9% 1.5%
Islay Van Dusen 4.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.7% 12.6% 10.4% 12.9% 12.7%
Leah Rickard 6.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.6% 7.8% 6.0% 10.0% 7.7% 10.2% 11.2% 10.9% 6.8%
Annika Fedde 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.4% 7.3% 9.4% 8.3% 10.7% 9.1% 10.0% 10.8% 5.5%
Megan Grimes 9.3% 9.0% 10.1% 10.9% 9.3% 9.3% 9.5% 7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Sophia Devling 10.5% 9.2% 10.8% 10.0% 10.4% 8.2% 7.4% 8.7% 7.0% 7.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.7%
Caroline Sibilly 17.1% 16.8% 14.3% 11.3% 10.4% 9.1% 6.6% 5.1% 4.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Aili Moffet 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 5.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 9.5% 11.0% 16.6% 23.8%
Heidi Hicks 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.7% 10.9% 16.4% 36.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.