Race 10B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ellie Harned 11.7% 11.6% 10.4% 10.6% 9.0% 10.2% 8.8% 8.9% 5.9% 6.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Brooke Schmelz 6.7% 9.3% 7.8% 9.6% 8.5% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 6.8% 4.7% 2.5%
Blaire McCarthy 8.4% 10.5% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 8.2% 9.6% 8.3% 6.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Sophia Devling 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.2% 9.1% 7.3% 8.3% 7.6% 5.7% 3.2% 0.9%
Islay Van Dusen 5.1% 3.9% 2.6% 7.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 7.9% 9.3% 12.2% 15.6% 11.5%
Megan Grimes 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 8.4% 9.5% 8.7% 9.3% 7.6% 8.2% 7.1% 3.7% 4.3% 1.1%
Aili Moffet 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 4.6% 5.4% 7.0% 9.1% 12.3% 16.8% 20.5%
Caroline Sibilly 16.5% 15.5% 14.3% 10.1% 11.1% 9.7% 8.3% 5.5% 4.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Marbella Marlo 10.1% 8.6% 10.1% 9.5% 10.0% 8.1% 9.4% 8.3% 6.6% 7.4% 5.5% 3.9% 2.5%
Leah Rickard 5.9% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 4.9% 8.3% 7.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 10.3% 10.8% 9.0%
Mia Hanes 5.2% 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 9.3% 10.0% 8.5% 10.1% 6.6% 6.6%
Annika Fedde 5.1% 4.5% 5.5% 6.4% 8.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.4% 10.2% 9.1% 11.9% 11.8% 6.4%
Heidi Hicks 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.9% 9.4% 9.8% 15.8% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.