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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+5.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.42vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+6.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+3.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.29+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+5.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+4.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.83-0.14vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.43vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-4.33vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.26vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-4.71vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-6.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.05vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.82-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University2.919.9%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.3%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston2.498.3%1st Place
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7.81Yale University2.297.9%1st Place
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8.88University of Pennsylvania2.426.7%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
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12.64Old Dominion University1.812.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.066.8%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University1.834.8%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin1.142.3%1st Place
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14.26SUNY Maritime College0.721.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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9.81North Carolina State University1.784.5%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.7%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Murray | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 18.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 29.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.