Race 2B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louis Padnos 37.9% 26.7% 17.7% 10.1% 4.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Crouch Crouch 12.8% 17.2% 18.8% 18.0% 15.8% 9.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Butti 22.3% 21.8% 19.4% 17.7% 10.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 3.9% 6.3% 6.9% 12.2% 16.9% 17.8% 14.9% 11.7% 5.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Boger 12.4% 14.8% 18.3% 18.2% 14.5% 12.0% 5.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael DeNigris 3.8% 5.1% 7.1% 9.0% 13.4% 17.9% 16.2% 13.8% 7.7% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jason Sinclair 2.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.5% 8.0% 11.5% 13.9% 18.2% 14.5% 11.5% 5.8% 2.7% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 8.6% 11.5% 14.4% 17.9% 20.3% 12.8% 0.0%
Andrew Werner 1.7% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 4.5% 7.3% 13.0% 13.8% 19.0% 17.2% 11.4% 6.7% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.8% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 4.6% 6.2% 11.9% 13.3% 19.7% 16.6% 13.0% 6.6% 0.0%
James Peaco 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 6.7% 8.5% 14.0% 25.8% 34.0% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.8% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 4.6% 6.2% 11.9% 13.3% 19.7% 16.6% 13.0% 6.6% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 9.2% 14.6% 22.1% 37.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.