Race 2C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ximena Escobar 7.3% 7.8% 9.3% 8.3% 10.2% 7.1% 9.5% 9.1% 9.3% 7.2% 7.4% 4.6% 2.9%
Sophie Fisher 16.2% 15.6% 15.8% 13.5% 9.4% 8.4% 8.1% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Lucy Spearman 4.5% 6.3% 8.4% 7.6% 8.1% 7.7% 9.2% 9.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.2% 5.2%
Brielle Willoughby 15.8% 15.3% 10.4% 13.1% 10.9% 8.9% 7.3% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Emily Scherer 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 9.6% 8.6% 7.3% 7.1% 4.4%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 6.5% 10.4% 11.3% 14.8% 20.8%
Cordelia Burn 17.4% 13.1% 13.1% 12.3% 9.9% 10.4% 6.5% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Lourdes Gallo 4.9% 6.0% 4.7% 6.1% 7.5% 6.5% 7.3% 9.0% 8.8% 11.4% 10.1% 9.1% 8.6%
Sophia Peck 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.3% 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.7%
Avery Canavan 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.9% 8.0% 7.5% 7.9% 9.3% 8.7% 11.0% 10.6% 10.5%
Lily Flack 3.2% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 10.3% 12.2% 14.6% 15.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.5% 5.5% 7.5% 9.7% 11.9% 15.1% 19.5%
Kay Brunsvold 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 10.6% 8.7% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 4.4% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.