Race 3C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kay Brunsvold 8.8% 7.8% 9.7% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 10.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.1% 5.9% 3.4% 2.4%
Sophie Fisher 16.1% 17.1% 13.0% 12.8% 12.0% 8.6% 6.7% 4.8% 4.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Cordelia Burn 14.6% 15.2% 12.3% 11.7% 9.7% 11.7% 8.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Emily Scherer 5.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 10.0% 8.6% 8.9% 8.5% 6.8% 4.7%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.8% 6.8% 4.9% 6.3% 9.1% 7.7% 11.1% 15.2% 20.6%
Ximena Escobar 8.1% 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 8.1% 8.5% 10.3% 8.8% 8.4% 7.7% 5.8% 5.4% 2.5%
Avery Canavan 5.8% 4.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.4% 6.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.7% 9.1% 10.8% 11.0% 9.2%
Lucy Spearman 5.9% 7.8% 6.1% 7.8% 6.8% 8.5% 8.7% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 6.9% 8.2% 4.2%
Lily Flack 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.8% 6.0% 6.4% 8.2% 9.8% 11.9% 12.9% 20.9%
Brielle Willoughby 16.4% 13.2% 15.5% 11.7% 8.8% 9.0% 6.6% 6.9% 3.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Lourdes Gallo 4.8% 4.2% 7.3% 7.3% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.9% 8.6% 7.3%
Sophia Peck 4.3% 5.3% 4.1% 6.8% 8.3% 7.7% 6.9% 8.6% 7.4% 10.1% 12.4% 10.3% 7.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 3.3% 3.0% 3.3% 5.6% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 9.1% 11.2% 15.2% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.