Race 7C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 14.8% 15.2% 13.1% 11.2% 12.3% 9.5% 7.3% 4.9% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Lourdes Gallo 4.4% 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.8% 6.2% 8.4% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 11.3% 7.5%
Lucy Spearman 4.9% 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 8.5% 10.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.5% 4.6%
Ximena Escobar 7.9% 6.6% 8.7% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 8.6% 7.6% 7.6% 4.7% 2.4%
Sophie Fisher 17.7% 17.6% 13.8% 10.2% 10.9% 8.7% 7.8% 5.2% 4.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 16.1% 14.5% 14.4% 12.5% 10.0% 8.7% 7.6% 5.6% 4.2% 2.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Emily Scherer 8.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.6% 6.9% 8.8% 8.8% 9.5% 7.7% 9.5% 8.0% 7.4% 3.8%
Sophia Peck 5.3% 5.9% 4.9% 6.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 7.6% 7.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.5% 3.2% 4.6% 3.9% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.8% 8.3% 9.4% 11.5% 12.7% 21.4%
Avery Canavan 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 5.7% 5.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.7% 12.3% 10.1%
Lily Flack 2.9% 2.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.4% 7.4% 5.5% 8.9% 10.0% 12.1% 14.1% 16.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 4.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.8% 10.1% 15.8% 22.3%
Kay Brunsvold 6.6% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 10.4% 9.1% 8.5% 10.4% 9.1% 8.6% 5.9% 3.7% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.