Race 8C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Fisher 17.0% 15.2% 14.4% 12.5% 10.6% 9.1% 6.7% 5.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Ximena Escobar 6.8% 8.1% 9.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 10.5% 8.8% 8.5% 8.7% 6.1% 5.2% 2.6%
Cordelia Burn 13.7% 16.0% 12.2% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 7.9% 5.3% 5.1% 3.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.5%
Brielle Willoughby 15.8% 13.5% 13.3% 12.6% 11.4% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Sophia Peck 6.0% 5.0% 5.7% 8.3% 6.2% 6.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.5% 8.8% 11.2% 9.7% 6.6%
Emily Scherer 7.2% 7.1% 6.4% 7.7% 7.9% 8.9% 8.5% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 4.3%
Lily Flack 3.8% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 11.4% 15.4% 17.7%
Lucy Spearman 5.6% 7.2% 7.4% 6.7% 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 10.7% 8.4% 10.6% 8.2% 7.7% 3.5%
Avery Canavan 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.2% 9.3% 11.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5%
Lourdes Gallo 6.4% 3.7% 6.1% 5.2% 7.6% 6.7% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 8.7% 10.3% 9.2% 9.7%
Kay Brunsvold 8.1% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 10.3% 11.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.5% 7.1% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 5.9% 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 12.7% 14.9% 22.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.8% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 6.1% 7.6% 7.9% 9.5% 11.7% 15.5% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.