Race 9C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Spearman 6.2% 5.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 7.1% 7.5% 4.7%
Sophie Fisher 16.0% 17.0% 14.5% 12.7% 11.4% 7.4% 7.2% 6.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Sophia Peck 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 7.5% 10.8% 9.1% 11.3% 9.2% 7.8%
Avery Canavan 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.2% 10.0% 8.9% 10.5% 12.8% 9.3%
Emily Scherer 6.5% 8.5% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.8% 8.0% 8.8% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.4% 5.2%
Lily Flack 3.6% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 3.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 13.7% 19.5%
Lourdes Gallo 6.0% 4.8% 6.1% 5.8% 6.5% 8.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.1% 10.5% 10.6% 8.9% 8.1%
Kay Brunsvold 8.2% 9.6% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 8.5% 9.1% 10.3% 7.6% 7.9% 5.2% 3.7% 2.8%
Brielle Willoughby 14.7% 15.1% 12.8% 11.1% 10.6% 10.8% 8.0% 5.2% 4.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6%
Cordelia Burn 17.8% 12.7% 14.7% 11.0% 9.0% 9.3% 6.8% 6.3% 5.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.8% 7.0% 10.6% 12.8% 12.7% 16.6%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.7% 10.6% 17.9% 22.3%
Ximena Escobar 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 10.7% 9.5% 9.0% 8.3% 7.0% 5.5% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.